Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Props & Projections

TE · NYG · Week 4 vs ARI

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards2412 - 3839.5under
Receptions21 - 33.5-
Anytime touchdown10.5%probability26.3%book implied

We project Isaiah Likely for 24 receiving yards against ARI, below the 39.5 book line. The likely range runs 12 to 38; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3TENReceiving yards3813.513under
Wk 3TENReceptions32.52under
Wk 1DALReceiving yards2437.578over
Wk 1DALReceptions23.5--

Common questions

What is Isaiah Likely's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Isaiah Likely a 10.5% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against ARI. The books price it near 26.3%.
What is Isaiah Likely's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Isaiah Likely for 24 receiving yards (likely range 12 to 38), against a book line of 39.5.
How often has Isaiah Likely gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Isaiah Likely has finished over the book line 1 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

Keep exploring