MarShawn Lloyd Props & Projections
RB · GB · Week 4 vs TB
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime touchdown | 9.2% | probability | 26% | book implied |
Projection vs results, week by week
| Week | Opp | Market | Projection | Book line | Actual | vs line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | ATL | Rushing yards | 22 | 30.5 | 11 | under |
| Wk 3 | ATL | Receiving yards | 9 | 10.5 | 7 | under |
| Wk 3 | ATL | Receptions | 1 | 2.5 | 2 | under |
| Wk 2 | NYJ | Rushing yards | 49 | 52.5 | 20 | under |
| Wk 2 | NYJ | Receiving yards | 9 | 9.5 | 6 | under |
| Wk 2 | NYJ | Receptions | 1 | 1.5 | 2 | over |
| Wk 1 | MIN | Rushing yards | 39 | 44.5 | 37 | under |
| Wk 1 | MIN | Receiving yards | 9 | 10.5 | 0 | under |
| Wk 1 | MIN | Receptions | 2 | 1.5 | - | - |
Common questions
- What is MarShawn Lloyd's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give MarShawn Lloyd a 9.2% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against TB. The books price it near 26%.
- How often has MarShawn Lloyd gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, MarShawn Lloyd has finished over the book line 1 of 8 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.