Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Deebo Samuel Sr.

Deebo Samuel Sr. Props & Projections

WR · SF · Week 4 vs DEN

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards3519 - 57--
Receptions42 - 6--
Anytime touchdown29.9%probability37.7%book implied

We project Deebo Samuel Sr. for 35 receiving yards against DEN. The likely range runs 19 to 57; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3ARIReceiving yards4440.580over
Wk 3ARIReceptions43.50under
Wk 2MIAReceiving yards3232.531under
Wk 2MIAReceptions33.53under
Wk 1LAReceiving yards33-48-
Wk 1LAReceptions3---

Common questions

What is Deebo Samuel Sr.'s anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Deebo Samuel Sr. a 29.9% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against DEN. The books price it near 37.7%.
What is Deebo Samuel Sr.'s receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Deebo Samuel Sr. for 35 receiving yards (likely range 19 to 57).
How often has Deebo Samuel Sr. gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Deebo Samuel Sr. has finished over the book line 1 of 4 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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