Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Trey McBride

Trey McBride Props & Projections

TE · ARI · Week 4 vs NYG

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards6335 - 9766.5-
Receptions74 - 106.5-
Anytime touchdown59%probability40%book implied

We project Trey McBride for 63 receiving yards against NYG, below the 66.5 book line. The likely range runs 35 to 97; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3SFReceiving yards6468.575over
Wk 3SFReceptions77.59over
Wk 2SEAReceiving yards6160.541under
Wk 2SEAReceptions76.58over
Wk 1LACReceiving yards5556.595over
Wk 1LACReceptions66.5--

Common questions

What is Trey McBride's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Trey McBride a 59% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against NYG. The books price it near 40%.
What is Trey McBride's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Trey McBride for 63 receiving yards (likely range 35 to 97), against a book line of 66.5.
How often has Trey McBride gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Trey McBride has finished over the book line 4 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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