Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Davante Adams

Davante Adams Props & Projections

WR · LA · Week 4 vs PHI

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards3617 - 6065.5under
Receptions32 - 54.5-
Anytime touchdown64.2%probability47.6%book implied

We project Davante Adams for 36 receiving yards against PHI, below the 65.5 book line. The likely range runs 17 to 60; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3DENReceiving yards3371137over
Wk 3DENReceptions35.57over
Wk 1SFReceiving yards44-26-
Wk 1SFReceptions3---

Common questions

What is Davante Adams's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Davante Adams a 64.2% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against PHI. The books price it near 47.6%.
What is Davante Adams's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Davante Adams for 36 receiving yards (likely range 17 to 60), against a book line of 65.5.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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