Jaxon Smith-Njigba Props & Projections
WR · SEA · Week 4 vs LAC
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 72 | 39 - 113 | 92.5 | under |
| Receptions | 5 | 3 - 8 | 7.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 44.7% | probability | 53.9% | book implied |
We project Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 72 receiving yards against LAC, below the 92.5 book line. The likely range runs 39 to 113; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Jaxon Smith-Njigba's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Jaxon Smith-Njigba a 44.7% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against LAC. The books price it near 53.9%.
- What is Jaxon Smith-Njigba's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 72 receiving yards (likely range 39 to 113), against a book line of 92.5.
- How often has Jaxon Smith-Njigba gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has finished over the book line 4 of 4 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.