Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Darnell Washington

Darnell Washington Props & Projections

TE · PIT · Week 4 vs CLE

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards148 - 2515.5-
Receptions11 - 23.5-
Anytime touchdown12.2%probability13%book implied

We project Darnell Washington for 14 receiving yards against CLE, below the 15.5 book line. The likely range runs 8 to 25; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3CINReceiving yards1520.567over
Wk 3CINReceptions12.53over
Wk 2NEReceiving yards1415.57under
Wk 2NEReceptions11.51under
Wk 1ATLReceiving yards151618over
Wk 1ATLReceptions11.5--

Common questions

What is Darnell Washington's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Darnell Washington a 12.2% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against CLE. The books price it near 13%.
What is Darnell Washington's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Darnell Washington for 14 receiving yards (likely range 8 to 25), against a book line of 15.5.
How often has Darnell Washington gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Darnell Washington has finished over the book line 3 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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