Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Props & Projections

WR · NYG · Week 4 vs ARI

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards2211 - 3920.5-
Receptions21 - 31.5-
Anytime touchdown8.5%probability13.3%book implied

We project Darnell Mooney for 22 receiving yards against ARI, above the 20.5 book line. The likely range runs 11 to 39; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3TENReceiving yards1520.520under
Wk 3TENReceptions11.52over
Wk 1DALReceiving yards1921.527over
Wk 1DALReceptions11.5--

Common questions

What is Darnell Mooney's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Darnell Mooney a 8.5% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against ARI. The books price it near 13.3%.
What is Darnell Mooney's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Darnell Mooney for 22 receiving yards (likely range 11 to 39), against a book line of 20.5.
How often has Darnell Mooney gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Darnell Mooney has finished over the book line 2 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

Keep exploring