Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Noah Fant

Noah Fant Props & Projections

TE · NO · Week 4 vs ATL

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards1910 - 3018-
Receptions21 - 32-
Anytime touchdown7.6%probability17.4%book implied

We project Noah Fant for 19 receiving yards against ATL, above the 18 book line. The likely range runs 10 to 30; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3LVReceiving yards101233over
Wk 3LVReceptions11.54over
Wk 2BALReceiving yards22---
Wk 2BALReceptions3---
Wk 1DETReceiving yards20-33-
Wk 1DETReceptions2---

Common questions

What is Noah Fant's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Noah Fant a 7.6% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against ATL. The books price it near 17.4%.
What is Noah Fant's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Noah Fant for 19 receiving yards (likely range 10 to 30), against a book line of 18.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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