Tyjae Spears Props & Projections
RB · TEN · Week 4 vs BAL
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 17 | 9 - 26 | - | - |
| Receptions | 3 | 2 - 4 | - | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 25.5% | probability | 16% | book implied |
We project Tyjae Spears for 17 receiving yards against BAL. The likely range runs 9 to 26; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
| Week | Opp | Market | Projection | Book line | Actual | vs line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | NYG | Rushing yards | 20 | 18.5 | 5 | under |
| Wk 3 | NYG | Receiving yards | 18 | 13.5 | 0 | under |
| Wk 3 | NYG | Receptions | 3 | 2.5 | - | - |
| Wk 2 | PHI | Rushing yards | 19 | - | 41 | - |
| Wk 2 | PHI | Receiving yards | 13 | - | 29 | - |
| Wk 2 | PHI | Receptions | 2 | 2.5 | 2 | under |
| Wk 1 | NYJ | Rushing yards | 20 | 25.5 | 12 | under |
| Wk 1 | NYJ | Receiving yards | 13 | 16 | 12 | under |
| Wk 1 | NYJ | Receptions | 2 | 2.5 | - | - |
Common questions
- What is Tyjae Spears's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Tyjae Spears a 25.5% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against BAL. The books price it near 16%.
- What is Tyjae Spears's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Tyjae Spears for 17 receiving yards (likely range 9 to 26).
- How often has Tyjae Spears gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Tyjae Spears has finished over the book line 0 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.