Dawson Knox Props & Projections
TE · BUF · Week 4 vs NE
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 18 | 9 - 30 | - | - |
| Receptions | 2 | 1 - 3 | - | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 27.2% | probability | 15.4% | book implied |
We project Dawson Knox for 18 receiving yards against NE. The likely range runs 9 to 30; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Dawson Knox's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Dawson Knox a 27.2% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against NE. The books price it near 15.4%.
- What is Dawson Knox's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Dawson Knox for 18 receiving yards (likely range 9 to 30).
- How often has Dawson Knox gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Dawson Knox has finished over the book line 1 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.