Jonnu Smith Props & Projections
TE · GB · Week 4 vs TB
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 2 | 1 - 3 | 1.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 11.1% | probability | 14.3% | book implied |
We project Jonnu Smith for 2 receptions against TB, above the 1.5 book line. The likely range runs 1 to 3; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Jonnu Smith's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Jonnu Smith a 11.1% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against TB. The books price it near 14.3%.
- What is Jonnu Smith's receptions projection for Week 4?
- We project Jonnu Smith for 2 receptions (likely range 1 to 3), against a book line of 1.5.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.