Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Marvin Harrison Jr. Props & Projections

WR · ARI · Week 4 vs NYG

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards4422 - 73.233.5over
Receptions32 - 52.5-
Anytime touchdown36.5%probability21.7%book implied

We project Marvin Harrison Jr. for 44 receiving yards against NYG, above the 33.5 book line. The likely range runs 22 to 73.2; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3SFReceiving yards3032.540over
Wk 3SFReceptions22.53over
Wk 2SEAReceiving yards2934.50under
Wk 2SEAReceptions230under
Wk 1LACReceiving yards394733under
Wk 1LACReceptions33.5--

Common questions

What is Marvin Harrison Jr.'s anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Marvin Harrison Jr. a 36.5% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against NYG. The books price it near 21.7%.
What is Marvin Harrison Jr.'s receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Marvin Harrison Jr. for 44 receiving yards (likely range 22 to 73.2), against a book line of 33.5.
How often has Marvin Harrison Jr. gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Marvin Harrison Jr. has finished over the book line 2 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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