Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Props & Projections

QB · PHI · Week 4 vs LA

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Passing yards203143 - 263188.5-
Rushing yards2213 - 3225.5-
Anytime touchdown50%probability37.7%book implied

We project Jalen Hurts for 203 passing yards against LA, above the 188.5 book line. The likely range runs 143 to 263; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3CHIPassing yards201.5215.5153under
Wk 3CHIRushing yards2424.525over
Wk 2TENPassing yards206206.5264over
Wk 2TENRushing yards2229.516under
Wk 1WASPassing yards211212.5203under
Wk 1WASRushing yards2429.546over

Common questions

What is Jalen Hurts's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Jalen Hurts a 50% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against LA. The books price it near 37.7%.
What is Jalen Hurts's passing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Jalen Hurts for 203 passing yards (likely range 143 to 263), against a book line of 188.5.
How often has Jalen Hurts gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Jalen Hurts has finished over the book line 3 of 6 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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