Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Justin Fields

Justin Fields Props & Projections

QB · KC · Week 4 vs LV

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Rushing yards3724 - 52--
Anytime touchdown39.5%probability-book implied

We project Justin Fields for 37 rushing yards against LV. The likely range runs 24 to 52; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3MIARushing yards40---

Common questions

What is Justin Fields's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Justin Fields a 39.5% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against LV.
What is Justin Fields's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Justin Fields for 37 rushing yards (likely range 24 to 52).
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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