Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Kyle Williams

Kyle Williams Props & Projections

WR · NE · Week 4 vs BUF

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Anytime touchdown5.1%probability12.5%book implied

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3JAXReceiving yards07.534over
Wk 3JAXReceptions0-1-

Common questions

What is Kyle Williams's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Kyle Williams a 5.1% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against BUF. The books price it near 12.5%.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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