Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
RJ Harvey

RJ Harvey Props & Projections

RB · DEN · Week 4 vs SF

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Rushing yards2515 - 3916.5-
Receptions21 - 33.5-
Anytime touchdown49.2%probability31.3%book implied

We project RJ Harvey for 25 rushing yards against SF, above the 16.5 book line. The likely range runs 15 to 39; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3LARushing yards16206under
Wk 3LAReceiving yards1318.541over
Wk 3LAReceptions22.56over
Wk 2JAXRushing yards23---
Wk 2JAXReceptions2---
Wk 1KCRushing yards1517.518over
Wk 1KCReceiving yards1116.523over
Wk 1KCReceptions22.5--

Common questions

What is RJ Harvey's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give RJ Harvey a 49.2% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against SF. The books price it near 31.3%.
What is RJ Harvey's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
We project RJ Harvey for 25 rushing yards (likely range 15 to 39), against a book line of 16.5.
How often has RJ Harvey gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, RJ Harvey has finished over the book line 4 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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