Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Props & Projections

QB · DAL · Week 4 vs HOU

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Passing yards250176 - 326266.5-

We project Dak Prescott for 250 passing yards against HOU, below the 266.5 book line. The likely range runs 176 to 326; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3BALPassing yards284265.5276over
Wk 2WASPassing yards280265.5279over
Wk 1NYGPassing yards264259.5175under

Common questions

What is Dak Prescott's passing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Dak Prescott for 250 passing yards (likely range 176 to 326), against a book line of 266.5.
How often has Dak Prescott gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Dak Prescott has finished over the book line 2 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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