Marcus Mariota Props & Projections
QB · WAS · Week 4 vs IND
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 180 | 128 - 233 | 214.5 | under |
| Rushing yards | 24 | 16 - 34 | 26.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 19.5% | probability | 21.7% | book implied |
We project Marcus Mariota for 180 passing yards against IND, below the 214.5 book line. The likely range runs 128 to 233; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Marcus Mariota's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Marcus Mariota a 19.5% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against IND. The books price it near 21.7%.
- What is Marcus Mariota's passing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Marcus Mariota for 180 passing yards (likely range 128 to 233), against a book line of 214.5.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.