Jalen Nailor Props & Projections
WR · LV · Week 4 vs KC
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 21 | 11 - 38 | 19.5 | - |
| Receptions | 2 | 1 - 3 | 1.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 32% | probability | 18.9% | book implied |
We project Jalen Nailor for 21 receiving yards against KC, above the 19.5 book line. The likely range runs 11 to 38; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Jalen Nailor's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Jalen Nailor a 32% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against KC. The books price it near 18.9%.
- What is Jalen Nailor's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Jalen Nailor for 21 receiving yards (likely range 11 to 38), against a book line of 19.5.
- How often has Jalen Nailor gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Jalen Nailor has finished over the book line 0 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.