NFL Week 5 2026 Projections vs Results
The full Week 5 board, kept for the record: our projected passing, rushing, and receiving yards next to the final book line and what each player actually did.
Archived. Projections for Week 5, kept for reference.
Projections updated October 12, 2026.
Passing yards
| Player | Team | Projection | Book line | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | LA | 290 | 282.5 | not recorded |
| Jared Goff | DET | 274 | 281 | not recorded |
| Aaron Rodgers | PIT | 257 | 220.5 | not recorded |
| Jordan Love | GB | 252 | 240 | not recorded |
| Drake Maye | NE | 251 | 225.5 | not recorded |
| Josh Allen | BUF | 245 | 244.5 | not recorded |
| Dak Prescott | DAL | 244 | none posted | not recorded |
| Kirk Cousins | LV | 242 | 231.5 | not recorded |
| Michael Penix Jr. | ATL | 241 | 218.5 | not recorded |
| Trevor Lawrence | JAX | 239 | none posted | not recorded |
| Brock Purdy | SF | 236 | 226.5 | not recorded |
| C.J. Stroud | HOU | 231 | 238.5 | not recorded |
| Geno Smith | NYJ | 228 | 200.5 | not recorded |
| Joe Burrow | CIN | 224 | 255.5 | not recorded |
| Jacoby Brissett | ARI | 224 | 266.5 | not recorded |
| Sam Darnold | SEA | 218 | 231.5 | not recorded |
| Jalen Hurts | PHI | 198 | none posted | not recorded |
| Tyler Shough | NO | 197 | 237.5 | not recorded |
| Jameis Winston | NYG | 194 | 198.5 | not recorded |
| Kyler Murray | MIN | 192 | 210.5 | not recorded |
| Deshaun Watson | CLE | 191 | 194.5 | not recorded |
| Tyler Huntley | BAL | 191 | 174 | not recorded |
| Malik Willis | MIA | 185 | 187.5 | not recorded |
| Cam Ward | TEN | 183 | 190.5 | not recorded |
| Daniel Jones | IND | 178 | 207 | not recorded |
| Justin Herbert | LAC | 178 | 200 | not recorded |
| Tyson Bagent | CHI | 175 | 215.5 | not recorded |
| Jayden Daniels | WAS | 174 | 192.5 | not recorded |
| Jalon Daniels | TB | 173 | none posted | not recorded |
| Bo Nix | DEN | 170 | 221.5 | not recorded |
Rushing yards
| Player | Team | Projection | Book line | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren | PIT | 93 | 69.5 | not recorded |
| Bijan Robinson | ATL | 88 | 86.5 | not recorded |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | 85 | 90.5 | not recorded |
| James Cook | BUF | 83 | 74.5 | not recorded |
| D'Andre Swift | CHI | 80 | 84 | not recorded |
| Aaron Jones | MIN | 71 | 71.5 | not recorded |
| Bucky Irving | TB | 69 | none posted | not recorded |
| Kyren Williams | LA | 69 | 68.5 | not recorded |
| Bhayshul Tuten | JAX | 64 | none posted | not recorded |
| Jonathan Taylor | IND | 64 | 84 | not recorded |
| Braelon Allen | NYJ | 62 | 71 | not recorded |
| Derrick Henry | BAL | 60 | 79.5 | not recorded |
| Christian McCaffrey | SF | 55 | 49.5 | not recorded |
| Ollie Gordon II | MIA | 52 | 42.5 | not recorded |
| Jayden Daniels | WAS | 51 | 31 | not recorded |
| Chase Brown | CIN | 48 | 67.5 | not recorded |
| Javonte Williams | DAL | 44 | none posted | not recorded |
| Ashton Jeanty | LV | 44 | none posted | not recorded |
| Cam Skattebo | NYG | 44 | 56.5 | not recorded |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WAS | 44 | 53.5 | not recorded |
| Emanuel Wilson | SEA | 44 | 63.5 | not recorded |
| Tony Pollard | TEN | 43 | 49.5 | not recorded |
| TreVeyon Henderson | NE | 42 | none posted | not recorded |
| J.K. Dobbins | DEN | 42 | 51.5 | not recorded |
| Quinshon Judkins | CLE | 41 | 59 | not recorded |
| Omarion Hampton | LAC | 40 | 41.5 | not recorded |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | 39 | 37.5 | not recorded |
| Anthony Richardson | IND | 38 | none posted | not recorded |
| Kimani Vidal | LAC | 38 | none posted | not recorded |
| Malik Willis | MIA | 35 | 32 | not recorded |
| Jeremiyah Love | ARI | 35 | 46.5 | not recorded |
| Drake Maye | NE | 32 | 31.5 | not recorded |
| Blake Corum | LA | 32 | 33.5 | not recorded |
| DeeJay Dallas | MIN | 31 | none posted | not recorded |
| David Montgomery | HOU | 31 | none posted | not recorded |
| Brian Robinson | ATL | 30 | 35.5 | not recorded |
| Kaleb Johnson | GB | 29 | 32.5 | not recorded |
| Deshaun Watson | CLE | 29 | 26.5 | not recorded |
| Keaton Mitchell | LAC | 29 | 32.5 | not recorded |
| Woody Marks | HOU | 28 | 36 | not recorded |
| Rachaad White | WAS | 28 | 24 | not recorded |
| Travis Homer | PIT | 26 | none posted | not recorded |
| Alvin Kamara | NO | 25 | 32.5 | not recorded |
| Josh Allen | BUF | 24 | 36.5 | not recorded |
| Austin Ekeler | WAS | 23 | none posted | not recorded |
| Kyler Murray | MIN | 22 | none posted | not recorded |
| Mike Washington Jr. | LV | 21 | none posted | not recorded |
| Tyler Allgeier | ARI | 21 | 27.5 | not recorded |
| Brock Purdy | SF | 21 | 23.5 | not recorded |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. | JAX | 20 | none posted | not recorded |
| Raheim Sanders | CLE | 20 | none posted | not recorded |
| RJ Harvey | DEN | 20 | 26.5 | not recorded |
| Roschon Johnson | CHI | 19 | 20.5 | not recorded |
| MarShawn Lloyd | GB | 19 | 27.5 | not recorded |
| Jaylen Wright | MIA | 19 | 23.5 | not recorded |
| Najee Harris | NYG | 19 | 27.5 | not recorded |
| George Holani | SEA | 17 | 20.5 | not recorded |
| Kendre Miller | NO | 14 | 23.5 | not recorded |
| Isaiah Davis | NYJ | 13 | 14.5 | not recorded |
| Kenny Gainwell | TB | 12 | none posted | not recorded |
| Samaje Perine | CIN | 12 | 14.5 | not recorded |
| Kaelon Black | SF | 12 | 14.5 | not recorded |
| Sean Tucker | TB | 11 | none posted | not recorded |
| Tyler Goodson | DAL | 11 | none posted | not recorded |
| Tyjae Spears | TEN | 10 | 14.5 | not recorded |
| Sione Vaki | DET | 10 | 8.5 | not recorded |
| Justice Hill | BAL | 9 | 11.5 | not recorded |
| Ty Johnson | BUF | 4 | 4.5 | not recorded |
Receiving yards
| Player | Team | Projection | Book line | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua | LA | 122 | 93.5 | not recorded |
| Zay Flowers | BAL | 121 | 67 | not recorded |
| Drake London | ATL | 104 | 80.5 | not recorded |
| Davante Adams | LA | 94 | 62.5 | not recorded |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | 88 | 95 | not recorded |
| Chris Olave | NO | 78 | 80.5 | not recorded |
| CeeDee Lamb | DAL | 75 | none posted | not recorded |
| Michael Wilson | ARI | 71 | 79.5 | not recorded |
| Christian Watson | GB | 69 | 60.5 | not recorded |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | 69 | 81 | not recorded |
| Brock Bowers | LV | 65 | 73.5 | not recorded |
| Nico Collins | HOU | 65 | 77.5 | not recorded |
| Parker Washington | JAX | 64 | none posted | not recorded |
| Matthew Golden | GB | 64 | 56.5 | not recorded |
| Justin Jefferson | MIN | 60 | 80.5 | not recorded |
| Garrett Wilson | NYJ | 60 | 67.5 | not recorded |
| Carnell Tate | TEN | 59 | 46.5 | not recorded |
| Trey McBride | ARI | 59 | 84 | not recorded |
| Ja'Marr Chase | CIN | 56 | 76.5 | not recorded |
| Dalton Kincaid | BUF | 55.5 | 55.5 | not recorded |
| Tee Higgins | CIN | 55 | 57 | not recorded |
| Romeo Doubs | NE | 55 | 49.5 | not recorded |
| DK Metcalf | PIT | 55 | 51.5 | not recorded |
| Tre Harris | LAC | 53 | 51.5 | not recorded |
| George Pickens | DAL | 52 | none posted | not recorded |
| Malik Nabers | NYG | 52 | 55.5 | not recorded |
| Denzel Boston | CLE | 51 | 45.5 | not recorded |
| Roman Wilson | PIT | 48 | none posted | not recorded |
| Sam LaPorta | DET | 48 | 51.5 | not recorded |
| Josh Downs | IND | 47 | 54.5 | not recorded |
| Isaac TeSlaa | DET | 46 | 25 | not recorded |
| Tre Tucker | LV | 42 | 40.5 | not recorded |
| George Kittle | SF | 42 | 54 | not recorded |
| Dontayvion Wicks | PHI | 41 | none posted | not recorded |
| Tucker Kraft | GB | 41 | 49.5 | not recorded |
| Jakobi Meyers | JAX | 40 | none posted | not recorded |
| Brenton Strange | JAX | 40 | none posted | not recorded |
| Chris Bell | MIA | 40 | 33.5 | not recorded |
| Kendrick Bourne | ARI | 40 | 31.5 | not recorded |
| Luther Burden III | CHI | 39 | 46.5 | not recorded |
| Hunter Henry | NE | 39 | 37.5 | not recorded |
| Isaiah Likely | NYG | 39 | 41.5 | not recorded |
| Jaylen Waddle | DEN | 39 | 55.5 | not recorded |
| Dalton Schultz | HOU | 38 | 33.5 | not recorded |
| Mark Andrews | BAL | 38 | 30.5 | not recorded |
| Ryan Flournoy | DAL | 37 | none posted | not recorded |
| Malachi Fields | NYG | 37 | 25 | not recorded |
| Rome Odunze | CHI | 36 | 39.5 | not recorded |
| Ashton Jeanty | LV | 36 | none posted | not recorded |
| Kyle Williams | NE | 36 | 14.5 | not recorded |
| Jameson Williams | DET | 36 | 52.5 | not recorded |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | 36 | 37.5 | not recorded |
| Khalil Shakir | BUF | 36 | 45.5 | not recorded |
| Mike Evans | SF | 34 | 50.5 | not recorded |
| DJ Moore | BUF | 34 | none posted | not recorded |
| Tez Johnson | TB | 33 | none posted | not recorded |
| Cade Otton | TB | 33 | none posted | not recorded |
| Kenyon Sadiq | NYJ | 33 | 30.5 | not recorded |
| Kyle Pitts | ATL | 33 | 24 | not recorded |
| Dallas Goedert | PHI | 32 | none posted | not recorded |
| Pat Freiermuth | PIT | 32 | 27.5 | not recorded |
| Terry McLaurin | WAS | 32 | 44.5 | not recorded |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. | SF | 32 | 34.5 | not recorded |
| Isaiah Williams | NYJ | 31 | 22.5 | not recorded |
| Darnell Washington | PIT | 31 | 22.5 | not recorded |
| Jaylen Warren | PIT | 31 | 20.5 | not recorded |
| Elic Ayomanor | TEN | 31 | 16 | not recorded |
| Bijan Robinson | ATL | 31 | 27.5 | not recorded |
| Devaughn Vele | NO | 30 | 40.5 | not recorded |
| Juwan Johnson | NO | 30 | 42 | not recorded |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | TEN | 30 | 33 | not recorded |
| Rashod Bateman | BAL | 30 | 17.5 | not recorded |
| Chris Godwin Jr. | TB | 29 | none posted | not recorded |
| Malik Washington | MIA | 29 | 45.5 | not recorded |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | CLE | 29 | 34.5 | not recorded |
| Antonio Williams | WAS | 29 | 36.5 | not recorded |
| Tyler Higbee | LA | 29 | 24.5 | not recorded |
| Emeka Egbuka | TB | 28 | none posted | not recorded |
| T.J. Hockenson | MIN | 28 | none posted | not recorded |
| Tyler Warren | IND | 28 | 43.5 | not recorded |
| Chig Okonkwo | WAS | 28 | 25.5 | not recorded |
| Mike Gesicki | CIN | 27 | 28 | not recorded |
| KC Concepcion | CLE | 27 | none posted | not recorded |
| Germie Bernard | PIT | 27 | 19.5 | not recorded |
| Ladd McConkey | LAC | 27 | none posted | not recorded |
| Keon Coleman | BUF | 27 | 38.5 | not recorded |
| Kayshon Boutte | HOU | 26 | 25 | not recorded |
| Oronde Gadsden II | LAC | 26 | 32.5 | not recorded |
| Chris Moore | BAL | 26 | none posted | not recorded |
| Courtland Sutton | DEN | 25 | 38.5 | not recorded |
| Cooper Kupp | SEA | 25 | 23.5 | not recorded |
| Kalif Raymond | CHI | 24 | 27.5 | not recorded |
| Michael Mayer | LV | 24 | 29.5 | not recorded |
| Keenan Allen | IND | 24 | 30.5 | not recorded |
| Greg Dulcich | MIA | 23 | 26.5 | not recorded |
| Evan Engram | DEN | 23 | 18.5 | not recorded |
| Christian McCaffrey | SF | 23 | 36 | not recorded |
| Kyren Williams | LA | 23 | 21.5 | not recorded |
| Colston Loveland | CHI | 22 | 38.5 | not recorded |
| AJ Barner | SEA | 22 | 22 | not recorded |
| Jahan Dotson | ATL | 22 | 20.5 | not recorded |
| Jake Ferguson | DAL | 21 | none posted | not recorded |
| Darius Cooper | PHI | 21 | none posted | not recorded |
| Jaylin Noel | HOU | 21 | 20.5 | not recorded |
| Devontez Walker | BAL | 21 | 8.5 | not recorded |
| Ted Hurst III | TB | 20 | none posted | not recorded |
| Josh Cameron | JAX | 20 | none posted | not recorded |
| Cam Skattebo | NYG | 20 | 13.5 | not recorded |
| Tutu Atwell | LA | 20 | none posted | not recorded |
| Michael Carter | PHI | 19 | none posted | not recorded |
| DeMario Douglas | NE | 19 | 26 | not recorded |
| Jonathan Taylor | IND | 19 | 16.5 | not recorded |
| Darnell Mooney | NYG | 19 | 17.5 | not recorded |
| Makai Lemon | PHI | 18 | none posted | not recorded |
| Cody White | LV | 18 | 21.5 | not recorded |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | 18 | 15.5 | not recorded |
| Laquon Treadwell | IND | 18 | 16 | not recorded |
| Gunnar Helm | TEN | 18 | 16.5 | not recorded |
| Troy Franklin | DEN | 18 | 19.5 | not recorded |
| RJ Harvey | DEN | 18 | 27.5 | not recorded |
| Rashid Shaheed | SEA | 18 | 20.5 | not recorded |
| Ty Johnson | BUF | 18 | 13.5 | not recorded |
| Travis Hunter | JAX | 17 | none posted | not recorded |
| Brian Thomas Jr. | JAX | 17 | none posted | not recorded |
| Bhayshul Tuten | JAX | 17 | none posted | not recorded |
| Eli Raridon | NE | 17 | 10.5 | not recorded |
| Xavier Hutchinson | HOU | 17 | 15 | not recorded |
| Justice Hill | BAL | 17 | 8.5 | not recorded |
| Ryan Miller | MIA | 16 | none posted | not recorded |
| Tyler Conklin | DET | 16 | none posted | not recorded |
| Elijah Higgins | ARI | 16 | 9.5 | not recorded |
| D'Andre Swift | CHI | 15 | 18.5 | not recorded |
| Efton Chism III | NE | 15 | 25.5 | not recorded |
| Tai Felton | MIN | 15 | 11.5 | not recorded |
| Tory Horton | SEA | 15 | 10.5 | not recorded |
| Chase Brown | CIN | 14 | 21.5 | not recorded |
| TreVeyon Henderson | NE | 14 | none posted | not recorded |
| Colby Parkinson | LA | 14 | 18 | not recorded |
| Jonnu Smith | GB | 13 | 7.5 | not recorded |
| Javonte Williams | DAL | 12 | none posted | not recorded |
| Cole Kmet | CHI | 12 | 9.5 | not recorded |
| MarShawn Lloyd | GB | 12 | 13.5 | not recorded |
| Emanuel Wilson | SEA | 12 | 12.5 | not recorded |
| Bucky Irving | TB | 11 | none posted | not recorded |
| Quinshon Judkins | CLE | 11 | 15 | not recorded |
| David Montgomery | HOU | 11 | none posted | not recorded |
| Will Kacmarek | MIA | 10 | 7 | not recorded |
| Aaron Jones | MIN | 10 | 19.5 | not recorded |
| Noah Fant | NO | 10 | 13.5 | not recorded |
| Alvin Kamara | NO | 10 | 15.5 | not recorded |
| Jerry Jeudy | CLE | 10 | 14.5 | not recorded |
| Calvin Ridley | TEN | 10 | 8 | not recorded |
| Derrick Henry | BAL | 10 | 5.5 | not recorded |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. | MIA | 9 | 18.5 | not recorded |
| Mason Taylor | NYJ | 9 | 13.5 | not recorded |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WAS | 9 | 6 | not recorded |
| Jeremiyah Love | ARI | 9 | 11.5 | not recorded |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | DEN | 8 | 12.5 | not recorded |
| Omarion Hampton | LAC | 8 | 6.5 | not recorded |
| George Holani | SEA | 8 | 8.5 | not recorded |
| Raheim Sanders | CLE | 7 | 11.5 | not recorded |
| Tyjae Spears | TEN | 7 | 10.5 | not recorded |
| Tyler Allgeier | ARI | 7 | 9.5 | not recorded |
| Austin Hooper | ATL | 7 | 7 | not recorded |
| Kenny Gainwell | TB | 6 | none posted | not recorded |
| Skyy Moore | GB | 6 | 12.5 | not recorded |
| Braelon Allen | NYJ | 6 | 13.5 | not recorded |
| Woody Marks | HOU | 6 | 8.5 | not recorded |
| Keaton Mitchell | LAC | 6 | 11.5 | not recorded |
| Jordan Whittington | LA | 6 | 5.5 | not recorded |
| Konata Mumpfield | LA | 6 | 8 | not recorded |
| Davis Allen | LA | 6 | 6.5 | not recorded |
| Jauan Jennings | MIN | 5 | 17.5 | not recorded |
| Tony Pollard | TEN | 5 | 8.5 | not recorded |
| Rachaad White | WAS | 5 | 9.5 | not recorded |
| Dawson Knox | BUF | 5 | 12 | not recorded |
| Ollie Gordon II | MIA | 4 | 10 | not recorded |
| James Cook | BUF | 4 | 10.5 | not recorded |
| Blake Corum | LA | 3 | 3.5 | not recorded |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | ATL | 2 | 7.5 | not recorded |
| KaVontae Turpin | DAL | 0 | none posted | not recorded |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford | DAL | 0 | none posted | not recorded |