Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Props & Projections

WR · IND · Week 4 vs WAS

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards4625 - 7335.5over
Receptions53 - 73.5-
Anytime touchdown31.8%probability27.8%book implied

We project Keenan Allen for 46 receiving yards against WAS, above the 35.5 book line. The likely range runs 25 to 73; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3HOUReceiving yards2958.563over
Wk 3HOUReceptions35.56over
Wk 2KCReceiving yards2830.55under
Wk 2KCReceptions33.51under
Wk 1BALReceiving yards3327.532over
Wk 1BALReceptions33.5--

Common questions

What is Keenan Allen's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Keenan Allen a 31.8% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against WAS. The books price it near 27.8%.
What is Keenan Allen's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Keenan Allen for 46 receiving yards (likely range 25 to 73), against a book line of 35.5.
How often has Keenan Allen gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Keenan Allen has finished over the book line 3 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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