Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Props & Projections

WR · WAS · Week 4 vs IND

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards6032 - 9551.5-
Receptions42 - 64.5-
Anytime touchdown27%probability29.9%book implied

We project Terry McLaurin for 60 receiving yards against IND, above the 51.5 book line. The likely range runs 32 to 95; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3SEAReceiving yards3565.577over
Wk 3SEAReceptions256over
Wk 2DALReceiving yards5351.550under
Wk 2DALReceptions34.52under
Wk 1PHIReceiving yards4448.514under
Wk 1PHIReceptions33.5--

Common questions

What is Terry McLaurin's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Terry McLaurin a 27% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against IND. The books price it near 29.9%.
What is Terry McLaurin's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Terry McLaurin for 60 receiving yards (likely range 32 to 95), against a book line of 51.5.
How often has Terry McLaurin gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Terry McLaurin has finished over the book line 2 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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