Justin Jefferson Props & Projections
WR · MIN · Week 4 vs MIA
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 63 | 34 - 98 | - | - |
| Receptions | 5 | 3 - 8 | - | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 24.5% | probability | 43.5% | book implied |
We project Justin Jefferson for 63 receiving yards against MIA. The likely range runs 34 to 98; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Justin Jefferson's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Justin Jefferson a 24.5% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against MIA. The books price it near 43.5%.
- What is Justin Jefferson's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Justin Jefferson for 63 receiving yards (likely range 34 to 98).
- How often has Justin Jefferson gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Justin Jefferson has finished over the book line 1 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.