NFL Week 6 2026 Projections vs Results

The full Week 6 board, kept for the record: our projected passing, rushing, and receiving yards next to the final book line and what each player actually did.

Week 7 projections are live →

Archived. Projections for Week 6, kept for reference.

Projections updated October 18, 2026.

Passing yards

Player	Team	Projection	Book line	Actual
C.J. Stroud	HOU	299	256.5	312
Kirk Cousins	LV	297	243.5	313
Josh Allen	BUF	281	238.5	255
Brock Purdy	SF	273	249.5	264
Trevor Lawrence	JAX	265	227.5	306
Bryce Young	CAR	263	237.5	281
Matthew Stafford	LA	256	280.5	222
Jordan Love	GB	244	271.5	276
Michael Penix Jr.	ATL	240	235.5	225
Patrick Mahomes	KC	239	227.5	272
Dak Prescott	DAL	235	276	258
Caleb Williams	CHI	228	228.5	305
Sam Darnold	SEA	222.5	223	278
Drake Maye	NE	219	236	235
Aaron Rodgers	PIT	218	229.5	253
Tyler Shough	NO	207	233.5	144
Geno Smith	NYJ	205	219.5	252
Deshaun Watson	CLE	197	200.5	164
Justin Herbert	LAC	193	195.5	204
Jameis Winston	NYG	190	223.5	152
Tanner McKee	PHI	190	190.5	215
Cam Ward	TEN	187	200.5	102
Jayden Daniels	WAS	178	205.5	300
Jacoby Brissett	ARI	177	237.5	218
Jalon Daniels	TB	174	175.5	164
Bo Nix	DEN	168	198.5	107
Daniel Jones	IND	168	233.5	269
Tyler Huntley	BAL	99	none posted	165

Rushing yards

Player	Team	Projection	Book line	Actual
Kenneth Walker III	KC	104	90.5	128
James Cook	BUF	101	91.5	95
Bijan Robinson	ATL	84	90.5	61
Chuba Hubbard	CAR	78	71.5	120
Derrick Henry	BAL	74	88.5	58
Bucky Irving	TB	68	64.5	46
Jonathan Taylor	IND	67	89.5	94
Jaylen Warren	PIT	65	59.5	50
Kyren Williams	LA	64	69.5	50
D'Andre Swift	CHI	60	74.5	44
Emanuel Wilson	SEA	57	66.5	52
Christian McCaffrey	SF	55	60.5	64
Bhayshul Tuten	JAX	54	63.5	39
Javonte Williams	DAL	54	71.5	41
Tony Pollard	TEN	53	52.5	76
Braelon Allen	NYJ	51	67.5	78
Rhamondre Stevenson	NE	51	none posted	36
Cam Skattebo	NYG	50	58.5	not recorded
Josh Allen	BUF	47	34.5	1
Jayden Daniels	WAS	44	35.5	10
Tyler Allgeier	ARI	41	47	38
Blake Corum	LA	41	43.5	42
J.K. Dobbins	DEN	39	48.5	41
Anthony Richardson	IND	39	none posted	not recorded
Ashton Jeanty	LV	39	55.5	22
Justin Fields	KC	38	none posted	not recorded
Woody Marks	HOU	37	47	56
TreVeyon Henderson	NE	35	none posted	31
MarShawn Lloyd	GB	30	42.5	10
Drake Maye	NE	29	26.5	24
Brian Robinson	ATL	27	34.5	1
Deshaun Watson	CLE	27	29	29
Omarion Hampton	LAC	27	31.5	18
Kendre Miller	NO	25	34.5	70
Michael Carter	TEN	23	none posted	not recorded
Najee Harris	NYG	23	21.5	2
Travis Homer	PIT	23	none posted	not recorded
Tyler Huntley	BAL	21	none posted	28
Alvin Kamara	NO	21	23.5	34
Tank Bigsby	PHI	21	none posted	not recorded
Tyler Goodson	DAL	21	none posted	0
Devin Singletary	NYG	20	none posted	14
Kenny Gainwell	TB	20	none posted	17
Kaleb Johnson	GB	20	none posted	-2
Austin Ekeler	WAS	20	none posted	3
Brock Purdy	SF	20	18	28
Kaelon Black	SF	19	24	34
Rachaad White	WAS	16	20.5	27
RJ Harvey	DEN	15	14.5	25
Keaton Mitchell	LAC	15	19	4
Mike Washington Jr.	LV	14	16.5	43
George Holani	SEA	13	14.5	20
Kimani Vidal	LAC	13	16.5	21
Chris Rodriguez Jr.	JAX	12	16.5	55
CJ Donaldson	NO	12	13.5	39
Emmett Johnson	KC	12	14.5	6
Tyjae Spears	TEN	11	12.5	1
Seth McGowan	IND	10	15.5	27
Ray Davis	BUF	6	6.5	4

Receiving yards

Player	Team	Projection	Book line	Actual
Drake London	ATL	104	90	62
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	SEA	100	92.5	134
Brock Bowers	LV	96	79.5	70
Puka Nacua	LA	86	93	80
Nico Collins	HOU	80	72.5	74
Parker Washington	JAX	78	61.5	64
Zay Flowers	BAL	74	none posted	66
Dalton Kincaid	BUF	74	48.5	38
Chris Olave	NO	73	79.5	43
Mike Evans	SF	73	73	94
Tetairoa McMillan	CAR	70	66.5	86
Davante Adams	LA	70	57	39
Christian Watson	GB	69	73.5	64
CeeDee Lamb	DAL	68	80.5	70
Garrett Wilson	NYJ	67	71.5	44
George Kittle	SF	67	63.5	69
Denzel Boston	CLE	64	54	15
Tre Tucker	LV	63	38.5	97
Malik Nabers	NYG	53	71.5	165
DeVonta Smith	PHI	53	none posted	75
Travis Kelce	KC	53	53.5	53
Matthew Golden	GB	53	65.5	104
Luther Burden III	CHI	52	50	95
Carnell Tate	TEN	52	53.5	70
George Pickens	DAL	51	69	73
Jakobi Meyers	JAX	50	33.5	83
Ladd McConkey	LAC	47	none posted	17
DJ Moore	BUF	46	49.5	not recorded
Xavier Hutchinson	HOU	45	none posted	10
Jaylin Noel	HOU	45	none posted	107
Khalil Shakir	BUF	44	none posted	34
Josh Downs	IND	43	48.5	40
Germie Bernard	PIT	43	42.5	87
Ashton Jeanty	LV	43	24.5	36
Brenton Strange	JAX	42	37.5	44
Jalen Coker	CAR	42	56.5	97
Isaiah Likely	NYG	41	50.5	99
Tucker Kraft	GB	40	47.5	37
Terry McLaurin	WAS	40	none posted	27
Rome Odunze	CHI	39	42	39
Mack Hollins	NE	38	none posted	not recorded
Jaylen Warren	PIT	38	28	28
Keon Coleman	BUF	38	none posted	59
Devaughn Vele	NO	37	43.5	42
Juwan Johnson	NO	37	40.5	0
Trey McBride	ARI	37	63.5	53
Dalton Schultz	HOU	36	31	33
Michael Wilson	ARI	36	59	32
Rashod Bateman	BAL	35	none posted	0
Jaylen Waddle	DEN	34	45.5	24
Dontayvion Wicks	PHI	34	none posted	24
Cade Otton	TB	34	30.5	4
Wan'Dale Robinson	TEN	33	38	22
Xavier Worthy	KC	33	48.5	73
Romeo Doubs	NE	32	none posted	42
Jalen Nailor	LV	31.5	none posted	9
Malachi Fields	NYG	31	25.5	19
Chris Godwin Jr.	TB	31	27	37
Christian McCaffrey	SF	31	40.5	53
Kayshon Boutte	HOU	30	25.5	16
Elic Ayomanor	TEN	30	15.5	3
DK Metcalf	PIT	30	52	93
Emeka Egbuka	TB	30	37.5	48
Colston Loveland	CHI	29	36.5	65
Darius Slayton	IND	29	none posted	not recorded
Cooper Kupp	SEA	28	22.5	50
Ty Johnson	BUF	28	15.5	24
Bijan Robinson	ATL	27	28.5	-8
Pat Freiermuth	PIT	27	36	11
Cody White	LV	27	none posted	0
Mark Andrews	BAL	26	none posted	4
Hunter Henry	NE	26	none posted	48
Dallas Goedert	PHI	26	none posted	61
Darnell Washington	PIT	26	20.5	25
Tyler Higbee	LA	26	31.5	22
AJ Barner	SEA	25	26.5	16
Darren Waller	CAR	25	29	0
Ted Hurst III	TB	25	none posted	40
Tez Johnson	TB	25	none posted	7
Kendrick Bourne	ARI	25	30.5	47
Kyle Pitts	ATL	24	28.5	60
Michael Mayer	LV	24	27.5	95
Ryan Flournoy	DAL	24	32	40
Chig Okonkwo	WAS	24	none posted	69
Josh Cameron	JAX	23	15.5	not recorded
Harold Fannin Jr.	CLE	23	none posted	9
Calvin Ridley	TEN	23	13.5	0
Laquon Treadwell	IND	23	none posted	21
Brycen Tremayne	CAR	23	none posted	not recorded
Kalif Raymond	CHI	22	26.5	18
Jahan Dotson	ATL	22	23.5	87
KC Concepcion	CLE	22	none posted	37
Keenan Allen	IND	22	40.5	82
Courtland Sutton	DEN	21	31.5	19
Travis Hunter	JAX	21	none posted	59
DeMario Douglas	NE	21	none posted	86
Kyle Williams	NE	21	none posted	12
Stefon Diggs	WAS	21	none posted	44
Evan Engram	DEN	20	20.5	13
D'Andre Swift	CHI	20	17.5	26
Isaiah Williams	NYJ	20	none posted	0
Quentin Johnston	LAC	20	none posted	57
Kenyon Sadiq	NYJ	19	none posted	12
Xavier Legette	CAR	19	none posted	not recorded
Charlie Kolar	LAC	19	none posted	20
Kenneth Walker III	KC	19	21	11
Marvin Harrison Jr.	HOU	18	20.5	34
Brian Thomas Jr.	JAX	18	18	0
Isaiah Bond	CLE	18	none posted	not recorded
Efton Chism III	NE	18	none posted	0
Eli Raridon	NE	18	none posted	11
Darius Cooper	PHI	18	none posted	9
Jake Ferguson	DAL	18	26.5	13
Gunnar Helm	TEN	17	17.5	not recorded
Jonathan Taylor	IND	17	17.5	57
Tommy Tremble	CAR	17	none posted	46
Kyren Williams	LA	17	19.5	17
RJ Harvey	DEN	16	21.5	31
Rhamondre Stevenson	NE	16	none posted	0
Darnell Mooney	NYG	16	19	0
Chuba Hubbard	CAR	16	17.5	1
Troy Franklin	DEN	15	17.5	2
Cole Kmet	CHI	15	9.5	3
Devontez Walker	BAL	15	none posted	0
Greg Dortch	BUF	15	none posted	not recorded
Ian Thomas	LV	15	none posted	not recorded
Antonio Williams	WAS	15	none posted	50
Kyle Juszczyk	SF	15	none posted	10
Rashid Shaheed	SEA	14	21.5	66
Emanuel Wilson	SEA	13	9.5	0
Bhayshul Tuten	JAX	13	8.5	48
Blake Corum	LA	13	6	18
Woody Marks	HOU	12	15.5	25
Tyjae Spears	TEN	12	13.5	7
Bryce Lance	NO	12	13.5	9
Elijah Higgins	ARI	12	14	28
MarShawn Lloyd	GB	12	12.5	0
Javonte Williams	DAL	11	14.5	9
Cam Skattebo	NYG	10	12	not recorded
George Holani	SEA	9	9.5	0
Noah Fant	NO	9	10.5	0
Bo Melton	GB	9	16.5	not recorded
Zachariah Branch	ATL	8	10.5	9
Colby Parkinson	LA	8	11.5	31
Tory Horton	SEA	7	3	13
Marvin Mims Jr.	DEN	7	10	13
Nate Boerkircher	JAX	7	5.5	8
Jalen Brooks	ARI	7	21.5	30
Braelon Allen	NYJ	6	16	26
Bucky Irving	TB	6	11.5	3
Tyler Allgeier	ARI	6	13.5	10
James Cook	BUF	6	7.5	58
Rachaad White	WAS	6	11.5	30
J.K. Dobbins	DEN	4	3.5	5
Tony Pollard	TEN	4	10.5	0
Davis Allen	LA	4	5.5	0
KaVontae Turpin	DAL	0	6	not recorded