Greg Dortch Props & Projections
WR · BUF · Week 4 vs NE
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 2 | 1 - 3 | - | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 19.5% | probability | 5% | book implied |
We project Greg Dortch for 2 receptions against NE. The likely range runs 1 to 3; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
| Week | Opp | Market | Projection | Book line | Actual | vs line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | LAC | Receptions | 2 | - | - | - |
Common questions
- What is Greg Dortch's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Greg Dortch a 19.5% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against NE. The books price it near 5%.
- What is Greg Dortch's receptions projection for Week 4?
- We project Greg Dortch for 2 receptions (likely range 1 to 3).
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.