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MLB Full Game Projections - Scores, Win Probability & Totals

2026-10-17 slate •

Every MLB game on today's slate gets a simulated full-game projection: a projected final score for both teams, a win probability calibrated to real outcomes, and a projected run total shown next to the current sportsbook line. These are descriptive projections built from team and pitcher data, good-to-know context rather than betting advice, and they refresh through the day as lineups confirm.
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays
98-64 • L10 7-3
@
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians
85-77 • L10 4-6
5.1-3.6
Nick Martinez vs Shawn Armstrong
Win probability
53%Tampa Bay Rays47%
WhyTampa Bay Rays project for 5.1 runs to 3.6. They draw Shawn Armstrong, a swing-and-miss arm, and their bats have been swinging hot over the last 10. Projected total is 8.7 runs.
Proj total
8.7
Book total
6.5
Moneyline
-110 / -106
FanDuel • via the Odds API
8:08 PM ETProgressive Field

1 game on today's slate • win probabilities are calibrated to real outcomes

More MLB numbers from Opening Line Analytics

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First-inning projections for every game, graded daily with a public record.

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Every graded pick, win or lose. The full track record in one place.

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Team-by-team first-inning scoring rates across the league.

For entertainment and informational purposes only. These are data-driven projections, not guarantees. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Please bet responsibly.