NRFI Picks Today
Friday, September 25 • Free •
Free, data-driven no run first inning projections for every game on today’s MLB slate. Each game’s NRFI probability is built from the starting pitchers’ first-inning history, both lineups’ early scoring, and the ballpark. Read how the numbers are made or start with our how to bet NRFI guide.
Top NRFI Plays Today
Run First Inning Targets
Lowest NRFI probability, the games most likely to score in the 1st (YRFI).
Full Slate
| Matchup | Pitchers | Lineups | NRFI | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA @ SEA | Detmers vs Miller | TBD | 67% | Strong NRFI |
| NYM @ WSH | TBD vs Alvarez | TBD | 61% | Lean NRFI |
| ARI @ SD | Pfaadt vs TBD | TBD | 61% | Lean NRFI |
| TEX @ MIN | deGrom vs Ryan | TBD | 60% | Lean NRFI |
| CLE @ KC | Williams vs Cameron | TBD | 60% | Lean NRFI |
| CHC @ BOS | Holmes vs Gamboa | Set | 58% | Coin Flip |
| STL @ MIL | McGreevy vs Gasser | TBD | 57% | Coin Flip |
| CHC @ BOS | Peterson vs Bello | TBD | 56% | Coin Flip |
| LAD @ SF | Skubal vs Marte | TBD | 55% | Coin Flip |
| BAL @ NYY | Young vs Beck | TBD | 52% | Lean YRFI |
| COL @ CWS | Sugano vs Burke | TBD | 52% | Lean YRFI |
| TB @ PHI | Peralta vs Sánchez | TBD | 51% | Lean YRFI |
| BAL @ NYY | Rogers vs TBD | TBD | 51% | Lean YRFI |
| CIN @ TOR | Lodolo vs TBD | TBD | 51% | Lean YRFI |
| PIT @ DET | Chandler vs Jobe | TBD | 49% | Lean YRFI |
| ATL @ MIA | TBD vs Pérez | TBD | 46% | Lean YRFI |
| HOU @ OAK | Brown vs Lopez | TBD | 43% | Lean YRFI |
NRFI Picks FAQ
What is NRFI?
NRFI stands for "no run first inning." It is a bet that neither team scores in the first inning. YRFI ("yes run first inning") is the opposite. Our projections estimate the probability of a scoreless first for every game on the slate.
What is the best NRFI pick today?
The games at the top of this page carry the highest no-run-first-inning probability on today's slate, based on each starting pitcher's first-inning history, both lineups' early-inning scoring, and the ballpark. The top game is our strongest NRFI lean.
Are these NRFI picks free?
Yes. Every projection on this page is completely free and updated daily. No paywall, no signup.
How accurate are the projections?
We track every pick out in the open. You can review the graded results day by day in our NRFI archive, wins and losses included.
See the live NRFI board
Live odds, simulations, and Kelly bet sizing, updated in real time.
Open the NRFI tool →See the full NRFI results archive →
For entertainment and informational purposes only. These are data-driven projections, not guarantees. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Please bet responsibly.