Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Brashard Smith

Brashard Smith Props & Projections

RB · KC · Week 4 vs LV

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Anytime touchdown11.9%probability14.3%book implied

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3MIAReceptions2-1-
Wk 2INDReceptions2---

Common questions

What is Brashard Smith's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Brashard Smith a 11.9% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against LV. The books price it near 14.3%.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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