Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Adonai Mitchell

Adonai Mitchell Props & Projections

WR · NYJ · Week 4 vs CHI

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards2612 - 45--
Receptions21 - 3--
Anytime touchdown14.2%probability27.6%book implied

We project Adonai Mitchell for 26 receiving yards against CHI. The likely range runs 12 to 45; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 2GBReceiving yards2033.563over
Wk 2GBReceptions22.56over
Wk 1TENReceiving yards2331.560over
Wk 1TENReceptions22.5--

Common questions

What is Adonai Mitchell's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Adonai Mitchell a 14.2% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against CHI. The books price it near 27.6%.
What is Adonai Mitchell's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Adonai Mitchell for 26 receiving yards (likely range 12 to 45).
How often has Adonai Mitchell gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Adonai Mitchell has finished over the book line 3 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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