Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Elijah Arroyo

Elijah Arroyo Props & Projections

TE · SEA · Week 4 vs LAC

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Anytime touchdown5%probability7.7%book implied

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3WASReceiving yards6---
Wk 3WASReceptions1---

Common questions

What is Elijah Arroyo's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Elijah Arroyo a 5% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against LAC. The books price it near 7.7%.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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