Opening Line AnalyticsNFL

Jadarian Price Props & Projections

RB · SEA · Week 4 vs LAC

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Rushing yards8652 - 13042.5over
Anytime touchdown33%probability43%book implied

We project Jadarian Price for 86 rushing yards against LAC, above the 42.5 book line. The likely range runs 52 to 130; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3WASRushing yards5021.515under
Wk 3WASReceiving yards10-7-
Wk 3WASReceptions1-1-
Wk 2ARIRushing yards515852under
Wk 1NERushing yards71-52-

Common questions

What is Jadarian Price's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Jadarian Price a 33% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against LAC. The books price it near 43%.
What is Jadarian Price's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Jadarian Price for 86 rushing yards (likely range 52 to 130), against a book line of 42.5.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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