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Jalen Tolbert

Jalen Tolbert Props & Projections

WR · MIA · Week 4 vs MIN

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards2010 - 34--
Receptions21 - 3--
Anytime touchdown15.9%probability3.2%book implied

We project Jalen Tolbert for 20 receiving yards against MIN. The likely range runs 10 to 34; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 1LVReceiving yards1111--
Wk 1LVReceptions11.5--

Common questions

What is Jalen Tolbert's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Jalen Tolbert a 15.9% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against MIN. The books price it near 3.2%.
What is Jalen Tolbert's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Jalen Tolbert for 20 receiving yards (likely range 10 to 34).
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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