Saquon Barkley Props & Projections
RB · PHI · Week 4 vs LA
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 59 | 36 - 89 | 69.5 | under |
| Receiving yards | 17 | 8 - 27 | 13.5 | - |
| Receptions | 2 | 1 - 4 | 2.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 47.8% | probability | 48.3% | book implied |
We project Saquon Barkley for 59 rushing yards against LA, below the 69.5 book line. The likely range runs 36 to 89; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
| Week | Opp | Market | Projection | Book line | Actual | vs line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | CHI | Rushing yards | 66 | 72.5 | 82 | over |
| Wk 3 | CHI | Receiving yards | 16 | 12.5 | -2 | under |
| Wk 3 | CHI | Receptions | 2 | 2.5 | 1 | under |
| Wk 2 | TEN | Rushing yards | 60 | 79.5 | 9 | under |
| Wk 2 | TEN | Receiving yards | 11 | 11.5 | 11 | under |
| Wk 2 | TEN | Receptions | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | under |
| Wk 1 | WAS | Rushing yards | 67 | 76.5 | 83 | over |
| Wk 1 | WAS | Receiving yards | 16 | 15.5 | -3 | under |
| Wk 1 | WAS | Receptions | 2 | 2.5 | - | - |
Common questions
- What is Saquon Barkley's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Saquon Barkley a 47.8% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against LA. The books price it near 48.3%.
- What is Saquon Barkley's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Saquon Barkley for 59 rushing yards (likely range 36 to 89), against a book line of 69.5.
- How often has Saquon Barkley gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Saquon Barkley has finished over the book line 2 of 8 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.