Opening Line Analytics
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Wacha

RHP · Kansas City Royals · 2026 Season

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Wacha has allowed a first-inning run in 7 of 32 starts in 2026 (21.9%). His 78.1% NRFI rate ranks #55 of 187 qualified starters (10+ starts). Last start: 2026-09-26.

78.1%
NRFI Rate
25-7
Record
32
Starts
2W
Streak

2026 Starts

OldestRecent
MIN
W
LAD
W
OAK
L
DET
W
CLE
W
MIA
L
ARI
W
HOU
L
PIT
W
CLE
W

First Inning Performance

2026 season avg · 32 starts

AVG RUNS
0.34
Lower is better
AVG HITS
0.91
Lower is better
AVG K
0.78
Higher is better
AVG BB
0.31
Lower is better

About NRFI Stats

NRFI (No Runs First Inning) tracks whether a starting pitcher holds the opposing lineup scoreless in the first inning. A high NRFI rate indicates a pitcher who consistently gets through the first without giving up runs — a key signal for first-inning prop bets.

Through 32 starts this season, Wacha has held the first inning scoreless 25 times (78.1% NRFI rate). He's averaging 0.34 runs, 0.91 hits, 0.78 Ks, and 0.31 walks per first inning this season.

Opening Line Analytics combines Wacha's historical stats with real-time lineup data and 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo simulation to generate a combined NRFI probability before every start.

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Live first-inning predictions with Vegas odds, edge %, and Kelly bet sizing — updated daily before first pitch.

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