Thornton headshot

Thornton

LHP · New York Mets · 2026 Season

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Thornton has allowed a first-inning run in 8 of 15 starts in 2026 (53.3%). His 46.7% NRFI rate ranks #182 of 187 qualified starters (10+ starts). Last start: 2026-09-24.

46.7%
NRFI Rate
7-8
Record
15
Starts
1L
Streak

2026 Starts

OldestRecent
MIA
L
PIT
W
ATL
W
SD
L
MIL
W
HOU
L
SF
L
NYY
W
PHI
W
TEX
L

First Inning Performance

2026 season avg · 15 starts

AVG RUNS
0.73
Lower is better
AVG HITS
1.20
Lower is better
AVG K
1.07
Higher is better
AVG BB
0.20
Lower is better

About NRFI Stats

NRFI (No Runs First Inning) tracks whether a starting pitcher holds the opposing lineup scoreless in the first inning. A high NRFI rate indicates a pitcher who consistently gets through the first without giving up runs — a key signal for first-inning prop bets.

Through 15 starts this season, Thornton has held the first inning scoreless 7 times (46.7% NRFI rate). He's averaging 0.73 runs, 1.20 hits, 1.07 Ks, and 0.20 walks per first inning this season.

Opening Line Analytics combines Thornton's historical stats with real-time lineup data and 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo simulation to generate a combined NRFI probability before every start.

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Live first-inning predictions with Vegas odds, edge %, and Kelly bet sizing — updated daily before first pitch.

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