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Skenes

RHP · Pittsburgh Pirates · 2026 Season

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Skenes has allowed a first-inning run in 10 of 32 starts in 2026 (31.2%). His 68.8% NRFI rate ranks #112 of 187 qualified starters (10+ starts). Last start: 2026-09-24.

68.8%
NRFI Rate
22-10
Record
32
Starts
3L
Streak

2026 Starts

OldestRecent
CIN
L
MIL
W
MIA
W
DET
W
SD
W
SF
W
LAA
W
CHC
L
KC
L
STL
L

First Inning Performance

2026 season avg · 32 starts

AVG RUNS
0.53
Lower is better
AVG HITS
0.81
Lower is better
AVG K
1.31
Higher is better
AVG BB
0.47
Lower is better

About NRFI Stats

NRFI (No Runs First Inning) tracks whether a starting pitcher holds the opposing lineup scoreless in the first inning. A high NRFI rate indicates a pitcher who consistently gets through the first without giving up runs — a key signal for first-inning prop bets.

Through 32 starts this season, Skenes has held the first inning scoreless 22 times (68.8% NRFI rate). He's averaging 0.53 runs, 0.81 hits, 1.31 Ks, and 0.47 walks per first inning this season.

Opening Line Analytics combines Skenes's historical stats with real-time lineup data and 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo simulation to generate a combined NRFI probability before every start.

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Live first-inning predictions with Vegas odds, edge %, and Kelly bet sizing — updated daily before first pitch.

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