Opening Line Analytics
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Paddack

RHP · Cincinnati Reds · 2026 Season

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Paddack has allowed a first-inning run in 4 of 9 starts in 2026 (44.4%). Last start: 2026-05-29.

55.6%
NRFI Rate
5-4
Record
9
Starts
1L
Streak

2026 Starts

OldestRecent
CWS
W
DET
W
ATL
W
STL
L
LAD
L
PHI
L
CLE
W
STL
W
ATL
L

First Inning Performance

2026 season avg · 9 starts

AVG RUNS
1.11
Lower is better
AVG HITS
1.22
Lower is better
AVG K
0.78
Higher is better
AVG BB
0.33
Lower is better

About NRFI Stats

NRFI (No Runs First Inning) tracks whether a starting pitcher holds the opposing lineup scoreless in the first inning. A high NRFI rate indicates a pitcher who consistently gets through the first without giving up runs — a key signal for first-inning prop bets.

Through 9 starts this season, Paddack has held the first inning scoreless 5 times (55.6% NRFI rate). He's averaging 1.11 runs, 1.22 hits, 0.78 Ks, and 0.33 walks per first inning this season.

Opening Line Analytics combines Paddack's historical stats with real-time lineup data and 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo simulation to generate a combined NRFI probability before every start.

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Live first-inning predictions with Vegas odds, edge %, and Kelly bet sizing — updated daily before first pitch.

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