Opening Line Analytics
NRFI Picks
Mize headshot

Mize

RHP · San Diego Padres · 2026 Season

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Mize has allowed a first-inning run in 3 of 26 starts in 2026 (11.5%). His 88.5% NRFI rate ranks #11 of 187 qualified starters (10+ starts). Last start: 2026-09-25.

88.5%
NRFI Rate
23-3
Record
26
Starts
1L
Streak

2026 Starts

OldestRecent
ARI
W
MIL
W
CLE
W
MIN
L
TB
W
CIN
W
WSH
W
COL
L
MIA
W
ARI
L

First Inning Performance

2026 season avg · 26 starts

AVG RUNS
0.19
Lower is better
AVG HITS
0.77
Lower is better
AVG K
0.81
Higher is better
AVG BB
0.35
Lower is better

About NRFI Stats

NRFI (No Runs First Inning) tracks whether a starting pitcher holds the opposing lineup scoreless in the first inning. A high NRFI rate indicates a pitcher who consistently gets through the first without giving up runs — a key signal for first-inning prop bets.

Through 26 starts this season, Mize has held the first inning scoreless 23 times (88.5% NRFI rate). He's averaging 0.19 runs, 0.77 hits, 0.81 Ks, and 0.35 walks per first inning this season.

Opening Line Analytics combines Mize's historical stats with real-time lineup data and 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo simulation to generate a combined NRFI probability before every start.

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Live first-inning predictions with Vegas odds, edge %, and Kelly bet sizing — updated daily before first pitch.

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