Parker Messick headshot

Parker Messick

LHP · Cleveland Guardians · 2026 Season

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Parker Messick has allowed a first-inning run in 4 of 31 starts in 2026 (12.9%). His 87.1% NRFI rate ranks #14 of 187 qualified starters (10+ starts). Last start: 2026-09-22.

87.1%
NRFI Rate
27-4
Record
31
Starts
3W
Streak

2026 Starts

OldestRecent
ARI
W
CWS
W
DET
W
SF
W
LAA
W
KC
L
DET
L
MIN
W
CWS
W
BOS
W

First Inning Performance

2026 season avg · 31 starts

AVG RUNS
0.13
Lower is better
AVG HITS
0.52
Lower is better
AVG K
1.10
Higher is better
AVG BB
0.23
Lower is better

About NRFI Stats

NRFI (No Runs First Inning) tracks whether a starting pitcher holds the opposing lineup scoreless in the first inning. A high NRFI rate indicates a pitcher who consistently gets through the first without giving up runs — a key signal for first-inning prop bets.

Through 31 starts this season, Parker Messick has held the first inning scoreless 27 times (87.1% NRFI rate). He's averaging 0.13 runs, 0.52 hits, 1.10 Ks, and 0.23 walks per first inning this season.

Opening Line Analytics combines Parker Messick's historical stats with real-time lineup data and 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo simulation to generate a combined NRFI probability before every start.

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Live first-inning predictions with Vegas odds, edge %, and Kelly bet sizing — updated daily before first pitch.

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