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Melton

RHP · Detroit Tigers · 2026 Season

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Melton has allowed a first-inning run in 8 of 20 starts in 2026 (40.0%). His 60.0% NRFI rate ranks #151 of 187 qualified starters (10+ starts). Last start: 2026-09-20.

60.0%
NRFI Rate
12-8
Record
20
Starts
1W
Streak

2026 Starts

OldestRecent
BAL
W
SEA
W
SF
W
CWS
L
KC
W
TB
W
MIN
L
MIN
L
TOR
L
CWS
W

First Inning Performance

2026 season avg · 20 starts

AVG RUNS
0.45
Lower is better
AVG HITS
0.95
Lower is better
AVG K
0.70
Higher is better
AVG BB
0.60
Lower is better

About NRFI Stats

NRFI (No Runs First Inning) tracks whether a starting pitcher holds the opposing lineup scoreless in the first inning. A high NRFI rate indicates a pitcher who consistently gets through the first without giving up runs — a key signal for first-inning prop bets.

Through 20 starts this season, Melton has held the first inning scoreless 12 times (60.0% NRFI rate). He's averaging 0.45 runs, 0.95 hits, 0.70 Ks, and 0.60 walks per first inning this season.

Opening Line Analytics combines Melton's historical stats with real-time lineup data and 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo simulation to generate a combined NRFI probability before every start.

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Live first-inning predictions with Vegas odds, edge %, and Kelly bet sizing — updated daily before first pitch.

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