Matz
LHP · Tampa Bay Rays · 2026 Season
Matz has allowed a first-inning run in 5 of 11 starts in 2026 (45.5%). His 54.5% NRFI rate ranks #167 of 187 qualified starters (10+ starts). Last start: 2026-08-14.
2026 Starts
First Inning Performance
2026 season avg · 11 starts
About NRFI Stats
NRFI (No Runs First Inning) tracks whether a starting pitcher holds the opposing lineup scoreless in the first inning. A high NRFI rate indicates a pitcher who consistently gets through the first without giving up runs — a key signal for first-inning prop bets.
Through 11 starts this season, Matz has held the first inning scoreless 6 times (54.5% NRFI rate). He's averaging 1.09 runs, 1.27 hits, 0.82 Ks, and 0.55 walks per first inning this season.
Opening Line Analytics combines Matz's historical stats with real-time lineup data and 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo simulation to generate a combined NRFI probability before every start.
See Today's NRFI Prediction
Live first-inning predictions with Vegas odds, edge %, and Kelly bet sizing — updated daily before first pitch.
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