Matthews headshot

Matthews

RHP · Minnesota Twins · 2026 Season

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Matthews has allowed a first-inning run in 12 of 23 starts in 2026 (52.2%). His 47.8% NRFI rate ranks #180 of 187 qualified starters (10+ starts). Last start: 2026-09-21.

47.8%
NRFI Rate
11-12
Record
23
Starts
1L
Streak

2026 Starts

OldestRecent
SEA
L
MIL
L
BAL
L
ATL
W
OAK
W
CWS
W
CWS
L
DET
L
NYY
W
SF
L

First Inning Performance

2026 season avg · 23 starts

AVG RUNS
0.78
Lower is better
AVG HITS
1.13
Lower is better
AVG K
1.09
Higher is better
AVG BB
0.30
Lower is better

About NRFI Stats

NRFI (No Runs First Inning) tracks whether a starting pitcher holds the opposing lineup scoreless in the first inning. A high NRFI rate indicates a pitcher who consistently gets through the first without giving up runs — a key signal for first-inning prop bets.

Through 23 starts this season, Matthews has held the first inning scoreless 11 times (47.8% NRFI rate). He's averaging 0.78 runs, 1.13 hits, 1.09 Ks, and 0.30 walks per first inning this season.

Opening Line Analytics combines Matthews's historical stats with real-time lineup data and 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo simulation to generate a combined NRFI probability before every start.

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Live first-inning predictions with Vegas odds, edge %, and Kelly bet sizing — updated daily before first pitch.

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