Keller, M headshot

Keller, M

RHP · Pittsburgh Pirates · 2026 Season

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Keller, M has allowed a first-inning run in 6 of 22 starts in 2026 (27.3%). His 72.7% NRFI rate ranks #89 of 187 qualified starters (10+ starts). Last start: 2026-08-02.

72.7%
NRFI Rate
16-6
Record
22
Starts
1L
Streak

2026 Starts

OldestRecent
ATL
W
LAD
W
OAK
L
SEA
W
CIN
W
WSH
L
ATL
L
NYY
W
ARI
W
CIN
L

First Inning Performance

2026 season avg · 22 starts

AVG RUNS
0.59
Lower is better
AVG HITS
0.82
Lower is better
AVG K
0.82
Higher is better
AVG BB
0.55
Lower is better

About NRFI Stats

NRFI (No Runs First Inning) tracks whether a starting pitcher holds the opposing lineup scoreless in the first inning. A high NRFI rate indicates a pitcher who consistently gets through the first without giving up runs — a key signal for first-inning prop bets.

Through 22 starts this season, Keller, M has held the first inning scoreless 16 times (72.7% NRFI rate). He's averaging 0.59 runs, 0.82 hits, 0.82 Ks, and 0.55 walks per first inning this season.

Opening Line Analytics combines Keller, M's historical stats with real-time lineup data and 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo simulation to generate a combined NRFI probability before every start.

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Live first-inning predictions with Vegas odds, edge %, and Kelly bet sizing — updated daily before first pitch.

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