Kay headshot

Kay

LHP · Chicago White Sox · 2026 Season

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Kay has allowed a first-inning run in 9 of 30 starts in 2026 (30.0%). His 70.0% NRFI rate ranks #102 of 187 qualified starters (10+ starts). Last start: 2026-09-22.

70.0%
NRFI Rate
21-9
Record
30
Starts
2W
Streak

2026 Starts

OldestRecent
TB
W
CLE
W
DET
L
ATL
W
TEX
W
HOU
W
MIN
W
STL
L
CLE
W
KC
W

First Inning Performance

2026 season avg · 30 starts

AVG RUNS
0.37
Lower is better
AVG HITS
1.00
Lower is better
AVG K
0.93
Higher is better
AVG BB
0.37
Lower is better

About NRFI Stats

NRFI (No Runs First Inning) tracks whether a starting pitcher holds the opposing lineup scoreless in the first inning. A high NRFI rate indicates a pitcher who consistently gets through the first without giving up runs — a key signal for first-inning prop bets.

Through 30 starts this season, Kay has held the first inning scoreless 21 times (70.0% NRFI rate). He's averaging 0.37 runs, 1.00 hits, 0.93 Ks, and 0.37 walks per first inning this season.

Opening Line Analytics combines Kay's historical stats with real-time lineup data and 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo simulation to generate a combined NRFI probability before every start.

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Live first-inning predictions with Vegas odds, edge %, and Kelly bet sizing — updated daily before first pitch.

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