Holmes, C headshot

Holmes, C

RHP · Chicago Cubs · 2026 Season

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Holmes, C has allowed a first-inning run in 4 of 17 starts in 2026 (23.5%). His 76.5% NRFI rate ranks #68 of 187 qualified starters (10+ starts). Last start: 2026-09-18.

76.5%
NRFI Rate
13-4
Record
17
Starts
1L
Streak

2026 Starts

OldestRecent
ARI
W
NYY
W
KC
L
STL
W
CWS
W
ARI
W
MIL
W
MIA
W
PIT
W
CIN
L

First Inning Performance

2026 season avg · 17 starts

AVG RUNS
0.29
Lower is better
AVG HITS
0.41
Lower is better
AVG K
0.76
Higher is better
AVG BB
0.41
Lower is better

About NRFI Stats

NRFI (No Runs First Inning) tracks whether a starting pitcher holds the opposing lineup scoreless in the first inning. A high NRFI rate indicates a pitcher who consistently gets through the first without giving up runs — a key signal for first-inning prop bets.

Through 17 starts this season, Holmes, C has held the first inning scoreless 13 times (76.5% NRFI rate). He's averaging 0.29 runs, 0.41 hits, 0.76 Ks, and 0.41 walks per first inning this season.

Opening Line Analytics combines Holmes, C's historical stats with real-time lineup data and 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo simulation to generate a combined NRFI probability before every start.

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Live first-inning predictions with Vegas odds, edge %, and Kelly bet sizing — updated daily before first pitch.

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