Opening Line Analytics
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Max Fried

LHP · New York Yankees · 2026 Season

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Max Fried has allowed a first-inning run in 4 of 21 starts in 2026 (19.0%). His 81.0% NRFI rate ranks #42 of 190 qualified starters (10+ starts). Last start: 2026-10-07.

81.0%
NRFI Rate
17-4
Record
21
Starts
9W
Streak

2026 Starts

OldestRecent
CHC
L
ATL
W
SEA
W
BOS
W
SD
W
COL
W
MIN
W
TB
W
BOS
W
TB
W

First Inning Performance

2026 season avg · 21 starts

AVG RUNS
0.33
Lower is better
AVG HITS
0.76
Lower is better
AVG K
1.19
Higher is better
AVG BB
0.33
Lower is better

About NRFI Stats

NRFI (No Runs First Inning) tracks whether a starting pitcher holds the opposing lineup scoreless in the first inning. A high NRFI rate indicates a pitcher who consistently gets through the first without giving up runs — a key signal for first-inning prop bets.

Through 21 starts this season, Max Fried has held the first inning scoreless 17 times (81.0% NRFI rate). He's averaging 0.33 runs, 0.76 hits, 1.19 Ks, and 0.33 walks per first inning this season.

Opening Line Analytics combines Max Fried's historical stats with real-time lineup data and 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo simulation to generate a combined NRFI probability before every start.

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Live first-inning predictions with Vegas odds, edge %, and Kelly bet sizing — updated daily before first pitch.

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