Elder headshot

Elder

RHP · Atlanta Braves · 2026 Season

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Elder has allowed a first-inning run in 6 of 26 starts in 2026 (23.1%). His 76.9% NRFI rate ranks #65 of 187 qualified starters (10+ starts). Last start: 2026-08-31.

76.9%
NRFI Rate
20-6
Record
26
Starts
1L
Streak

2026 Starts

OldestRecent
SF
W
PIT
W
SD
W
BAL
W
WSH
W
MIA
W
NYM
L
ARI
W
LAD
W
SF
L

First Inning Performance

2026 season avg · 26 starts

AVG RUNS
0.54
Lower is better
AVG HITS
1.00
Lower is better
AVG K
0.92
Higher is better
AVG BB
0.54
Lower is better

About NRFI Stats

NRFI (No Runs First Inning) tracks whether a starting pitcher holds the opposing lineup scoreless in the first inning. A high NRFI rate indicates a pitcher who consistently gets through the first without giving up runs — a key signal for first-inning prop bets.

Through 26 starts this season, Elder has held the first inning scoreless 20 times (76.9% NRFI rate). He's averaging 0.54 runs, 1.00 hits, 0.92 Ks, and 0.54 walks per first inning this season.

Opening Line Analytics combines Elder's historical stats with real-time lineup data and 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo simulation to generate a combined NRFI probability before every start.

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Live first-inning predictions with Vegas odds, edge %, and Kelly bet sizing — updated daily before first pitch.

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