Early
LHP · Boston Red Sox · 2026 Season
Early has allowed a first-inning run in 8 of 17 starts in 2026 (47.1%). His 52.9% NRFI rate ranks #170 of 187 qualified starters (10+ starts). Last start: 2026-06-30.
2026 Starts
First Inning Performance
2026 season avg · 17 starts
About NRFI Stats
NRFI (No Runs First Inning) tracks whether a starting pitcher holds the opposing lineup scoreless in the first inning. A high NRFI rate indicates a pitcher who consistently gets through the first without giving up runs — a key signal for first-inning prop bets.
Through 17 starts this season, Early has held the first inning scoreless 9 times (52.9% NRFI rate). He's averaging 0.47 runs, 1.06 hits, 1.12 Ks, and 0.59 walks per first inning this season.
Opening Line Analytics combines Early's historical stats with real-time lineup data and 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo simulation to generate a combined NRFI probability before every start.
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Live first-inning predictions with Vegas odds, edge %, and Kelly bet sizing — updated daily before first pitch.
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