Cease headshot

Cease

RHP · Toronto Blue Jays · 2026 Season

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Cease has allowed a first-inning run in 9 of 29 starts in 2026 (31.0%). His 69.0% NRFI rate ranks #110 of 187 qualified starters (10+ starts). Last start: 2026-09-18.

69.0%
NRFI Rate
20-9
Record
29
Starts
2W
Streak

2026 Starts

OldestRecent
STL
W
CHC
W
BOS
W
NYY
W
NYY
W
SEA
L
CLE
W
OAK
L
BAL
W
TEX
W

First Inning Performance

2026 season avg · 29 starts

AVG RUNS
0.34
Lower is better
AVG HITS
0.76
Lower is better
AVG K
1.41
Higher is better
AVG BB
0.59
Lower is better

About NRFI Stats

NRFI (No Runs First Inning) tracks whether a starting pitcher holds the opposing lineup scoreless in the first inning. A high NRFI rate indicates a pitcher who consistently gets through the first without giving up runs — a key signal for first-inning prop bets.

Through 29 starts this season, Cease has held the first inning scoreless 20 times (69.0% NRFI rate). He's averaging 0.34 runs, 0.76 hits, 1.41 Ks, and 0.59 walks per first inning this season.

Opening Line Analytics combines Cease's historical stats with real-time lineup data and 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo simulation to generate a combined NRFI probability before every start.

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Live first-inning predictions with Vegas odds, edge %, and Kelly bet sizing — updated daily before first pitch.

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